The Bitcoin Cycle Is Not Dead: Why $BTC Will Reach $150,000 By The End Of 2025?

The highest cryptocurrency cycle: 2013: November 29 2017: December 17 2021: November 10 Every 4 years, in each November/December. Everyone is shouting: "The cycle is dead, the bull run is over", but they are WRONG. Here's why $BTC will reach $150,000 in November-December 🧵👇

1/➮ Currently, this is one of the most complex and confusing situations I have ever seen in the entire history of cryptocurrency. ✧ 90% CT is pessimistic, talking about the death cycle, BTC is a macro asset, claiming that cryptocurrency is dying. Is it really that bad? Let's find out 👇🏻 2/➮ To fully understand the situation, I have examined the previous cycles, their movements, and the highs. ✧ Previous cycle high:

• November 29, 2013: 1,242 dollars
• December 17, 2017: 19,891 dollars
• November 10, 2021: $69,000 It turns out the peak occurs every 4 years.

3/➮ Most people think that the cycles are broken due to poor altcoin performance and ETH being sold off, but the reality is... ✧ This movement is far from over and the actual cycle has not yet been broken. ✧ Yes, it's happening differently than usual, but that happens in every cycle. 4/➮ There is also a reasonable explanation for this, considering the new aspects that have changed cryptocurrency: ✧ ETFs and widespread adoption make it seem like retail has entered the market - so this must be the peak. ✧ That is why the bullish trend can no longer be seen - who would remain if retail has arrived? 5/➮ It's interesting, in the previous cycle, there was a similar situation when many people believed that 60,000 dollars was the peak. ✧ And now, everyone is pessimistic about $BTC 85,000 just because 108,000 looks like the peak. But in reality, we may still be far from the peak. All ATHs look like peaks until they are broken. This indicates that a prolonged correction lasting at least a few months, similar to what we are currently witnessing, is necessary. Otherwise, the market will be too hot to continue rising higher. Simply put, imagine you are a whale trying to accumulate positions:

• Is there a profit when buying BTC at 108,000 dollars? No.
• Is there profit in buying now? More than that.
• Is there a price increase from here? Yes, and a significant factor—there are still many catalysts for price increases, retail has not even reached the level of the previous cycle and there is still room for growth.
• Is there room for reduction? Not much left for altcoins, perhaps a maximum of 20-30% for BTC. Considering this, we have seen great entry points for long positions, with a 2x increase and a decrease of only 30%. For those going through their first cycle, this really feels like the peak - they have never seen such prolonged declines and large liquidations before. But looking at the big picture, I only see a reasonable adjustment - allowing players to rotate in an overheated market before the next price increase. For me, having been in a similar situation in the previous cycle, this is just a repeating pattern, reasonable.

6/➮ If the simple chart, time, and cycle are not enough for you, we also have many other bullish factors. ✧ For some reason, they are greatly undervalued, as if the market has not yet reacted to them. Let's analyze each factor one by one👇🏻 7/➮ We have Saylor (MSTR) borrow dollars in the bond market to buy more BTC ✧ There are leading companies like BlackRock buying billions of dollars in cryptocurrency. ✧ Above all, there are upcoming BTC reserves and Trump with 90% of his investment portfolio in ETH But it's not that simple: 8/➮ Many people have lost faith in the BTC reserve fund after news that it could be created from seized BTC. ✧ But the driving factor for the price increase here is not - but rather the fact that other countries will start to follow the United States. ✧ Many people will want to create their own BTC reserve fund and have purchased from the market. 9/➮ ETH is becoming even more popular as US banks are allowed to stake ETH and may integrate Ethereum into various financial systems. I believe that the upcoming ETH price increase will be the main driver of the altseason. 10/➮ It's interesting that there hasn't been any peak indicator of the bull market for $BTC in history. ✧ Therefore, in reality, any discussion about the broken cycle seems like complete FUD or just hearsay. ✧ Considering everything mentioned above, we are going through the cycle exactly as we should. And indeed, this drop is really scary, and maintaining it is even scarier. But the drop before a run is never like the drop - they are like the bottom.

11/➮ Another interesting coincidence that I noticed at the end of my research: ✧ In the past 2 years, there have only been 2 periods where the average funding level remained below the risk-free level for about 2 consecutive weeks. ✧ And both times after that, the altcoins surged strongly. Now, we are in such a third phase.

12/➮ I am gradually starting to accumulate positions, BUT: only ETH/BTC/SOL and high market cap altcoins. The market is still very volatile, so I advise you to stay away from current risky activities and not to participate 100% - there is still a risk that the sell-off will continue, this is either the peak or a prolonged correction. You need to be prepared to hold through the entire downtrend with any bag you buy, so scale in gradually and don't rush. You can always make money during a bull market even without a full position. In a market like this, those who truly escape hardship are the ones who learn new skills and build a small but comfortable bag - a bag that they can actually hold onto instead of selling off due to feeling too large.