TRUMP (MAGA) — fresh forecast

The sidewall with a slight decline - demand is weakening
24h range $ 9.51 – 10.16

1. Political background
The course "pro-crypto" of the White House, promoting the stablecoin law GENIUS Act ( mention of Trump investments )

2. Media hype
Forbes and others compare TRUMP to "political memes" of June
Periodic spikes in X-mentions and retail purchases

3. Correction of the AI/meme segment
Against the backdrop of Middle Eastern news, the risk-on market has cooled → TRUMP retreated from $10.5 to $9.5
Strengthening the sale of leveraged positions

Support-1
$ 9.20–9.40 consolidation zone June 6–14
Support-2
$ 8.60–8.80 March accumulation

Social sentiments
Mentions of #TRUMP up 60% over 72 hours amid discussions of the stablecoin law, sentiment 57% positive / 18% negative.

Call options with a strike of $ 12 (29 June ) increased by +22% OI — a bet on the pre-election media hype by the end of the month.

The probability of seeing ≥ $10.50 ( fixing H4) is just above 50/50 if the market returns to a risk-on mode.
A drop below $9.20 will turn $8.8 into the default target.
In the absence of global "bullish" headlines, TRUMP will likely continue to chop in the range of $9.2-10.4 until the end of the month.

Tactics: long scalp from $ 9.20-9.40 ( stop $ 8.95 ) on an attempt to test $ 10.30; counter-short on a false spike > $ 10.60 ( target $ 9.60 ). Leverage ≤ 3× — volatility remains elevated.