Market analysis of BTC (BTC) and ETH (ETH) on June 25th
【Bottom precise foresight】

, with enclosed reference to the strategy order

Technical Analysis

【Pancake】

The big cake is as shown in the figure. Since we bought the dip at 98000, it seems that we have encountered a clear parallel channel again. This is a healthy callback form, so 108000 can be the key point of the end of this callback. Breaking through the big cake can meet new highs. Intraday, we focus on the strength and weakness line of 103000, which has always been unchanged here.

Resistance levels: 108000, 109000;

Support levels: 104500, 102800;

【Er Bing】

So we have to take back the lower boundary of the previous range for (, which always indicates the trend of ). Pay attention to the conversion line position of at 2525 intraday, break through on the 4-hour or higher level, and may continue to test the position of 2600 in a small trend. But we need to pay attention to the trend of .

Then the 4-hour closing line of the second cake has been rising continuously. This is due to the strong liquidity selling pressure in the fair area below the front rail area, which needs to be recognized.

![]https://img.gateio.im/social/moments-c1bf9be6ef-6212b48e94-153d09-62a40f

Resistance levels: 2425, 2600;

Support levels: 2380, 2315;

2. Strategy Order

(The following is just a simple trend analysis, for reference only. Specific data analysis can only be done when it arrives. If you are interested, you may follow me)

btc script 1: sell near 108000 (take profit: 109500), phase 1: 107500; phase 2: 106100; phase 3: 103000

btc script 2: buy near 102700 (stop loss: 99700), stage 1: 104000; stage 2: 106000; stage 3: 108000

eth script 1: sell near 2495 (stop: 2530), stage 1: 2450; stage 2: 2430; stage 3: 2390

III. News

1. If inflationary pressures can be controlled, Fed Governor Bowman will support a rate cut at the next meeting to bring interest rates closer to neutral levels and maintain a healthy labor market. Bowman has been watching inflation risks closely over the past year. She expects more excess capacity in the economy this year and believes that the price increases due to tariffs will be modest and one-off.

She felt that the labor market was quite strong, almost reaching full employment levels. However, she also pointed out some signs of fragility, such as declining labor market vitality, slowing economic growth, and employment growth concentrated in narrow fields. Therefore, she believes that the Federal Reserve should pay more attention to the downward risks facing the employment target when making future decisions.

This is Bowman's first substantive economic commentary since being nominated by Trump this spring and confirmed by the Senate as Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve for Supervision.

2. Chainlink is dedicated to building a decentralized oracle network. Currently, it has partnered with Mastercard. This means that Mastercard's 3 billion cardholders can now purchase cryptocurrencies on-chain. This collaboration provides a new way for people who have not been exposed to Web3 to interact with digital assets, and also contributes to the popularization of cryptocurrencies.

3. After Ohio passed HB 116 to reduce taxes on cryptocurrency, Representative Steve Demetriou said the next step is to establish a state-level Bitcoin reserve. Now there is a new bill, HB 18, which intends to allow the state treasurer to invest up to 10% of specific public funds in 'high market value' cryptocurrencies.