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Recently, I have been deeply thinking about two core concepts in the field of trading: market intuition and crisis awareness. My conclusion is that even if we strictly adhere to Technical Analysis and trading discipline, we will still encounter situations of unavoidable losses. These special circumstances often involve multiple levels, including market trends at different levels, misleading technical indicators, and even the influence of the macroeconomic environment and news events. These experiences will leave a deep imprint on our consciousness and become an important reference for future decision-making.
When we once again face a market situation that is difficult to understand, yet feel a certain familiarity, this subconscious warning signal will be activated, reminding us that we may be facing similar risks.
Trading is different from gambling because it follows certain logical rules. As long as we stick to the correct methods, it is possible to maintain a win rate of over 60%. Even with a win rate of only 50%, as long as we strictly implement stop-loss strategies and choose trading opportunities with a good risk-reward ratio, we can still achieve long-term profitability.
On the contrary, if we frequently experience small wins and large losses, the problem often lies not in the trading logic itself, but in our failure to execute the strategy correctly. Therefore, we should not question the effectiveness of trading techniques, but rather reflect on our execution ability.
This situation is similar to someone questioning the value of reading. We all know that knowledge is useful, but not everyone who loves reading can acquire wealth. The key lies in how to apply the knowledge learned and fully utilize its potential value. The same goes for trading skills; having the right methods is important, but the key is how to flexibly apply them in practice.