Valuable insights for surviving in the crypto world: mindset > skills, 8 practical rules.

In the crypto world, after struggling through the ups and downs, I've found that the mindset is far more important than the technology in determining long-term gains. Here are 8 practical summaries of the 'survival rules'; understanding these can help you avoid at least half the pitfalls:

1. The "barometer" logic of mainstream coins

Bitcoin is the "commander-in-chief" of the crypto world’s ups and downs. Ethereum can occasionally break away to develop an independent trend, but altcoins generally cannot escape the volatility cycle of Bitcoin. If you want to play with altcoins, keep a close eye on Bitcoin's movements and don't fantasize about low-probability events of "taking off against the trend."

2. The reverse signal of USDT

Bitcoin and USDT are "reverse rivals": when USDT appreciates, it often means Bitcoin will decline (funds are flowing back to stablecoins for risk aversion); when Bitcoin rises sharply, it is a good time to exchange for USDT (to lock in profits). Learn to observe USDT prices and anticipate trends in advance.

3. Arbitrage opportunities during the "pinning" period

The period from 0:00 to 1:00 every day is the most random for market fluctuations, often showing "flash spikes" (sudden price drops/rises). Before going to bed, you can:

- Place a buy order at a low price (the "bargain price" for the desired coin)
- Place a high-priced sell order (the "ideal take profit price" of the coin in hand)
Lying in bed might just allow you to "passively trade" and earn profits for nothing.

IV. Trend assessment from 6 to 8 AM

The period from 6 to 8 a.m. is the "critical window" for assessing the day's market conditions:

- If it continues to decline from 0 to 6 o'clock, and still drops from 6 to 8 o'clock → decisively buy in/replenish positions, there is a high probability of a rebound on the same day;
- If there is a continuous rise from 0:00 to 6:00, and still rising from 6:00 to 8:00 → seize the opportunity to take profits, as it is very likely to drop back on the same day.
This tactic is used to determine intraday trends and has a high accuracy rate.

5. The "U.S. Time Window" at 5 PM

Due to the time difference, around 5 PM is the "active period" for American traders. Historically, many significant rises and falls have occurred during this time (U.S. funds entering/leaving the market causing fluctuations). Keep a close eye on this time point, as the possibility of unusual movements is higher.

6. The Reality and Illusion of "Black Friday"

There are rumors in the crypto world about "Black Friday" (the price of coins plummeting on Fridays), and it has indeed happened a few times, but there have also been instances of significant increases or sideways movements. Don't blindly trust patterns; pay more attention to news on Fridays (policies, institutional movements) and combine that with technical analysis for more reliable judgments.

7. The "Patience Philosophy" of Holding Coins in Spot Trading

As long as you haven't bought pure air coins (zero coins), for coins with trading volume support, patience in holding after a decline will definitely lead to recouping the investment:

- A short-term rebound (3 - 7 days) is possible, accumulate in batches to lower costs, and recover capital faster;
- If you have no extra money, just "hang in there"; it can take about 1 month to break even (provided that it’s not a garbage coin).
Remember: the crypto world is highly volatile, and only by "holding on" can you wait for the reversal.

8. The "counter-intuitive" truth of long-term investing > short-term investing

When trading spot, long-term holding + less trading yields far better results than frequent operations. For example, holding the same coin for 1 year, frequent buying and selling may lead to reduced profits due to "selling too early" or "buying at a high"; whereas a calm holding strategy can capture the entire trend. The test lies in the patience for "delayed gratification."

Lastly, let me add a heart-wrenching note: many people fail because "knowing is easy, doing is hard." For example, "if the coin price is below the 30-day moving average for three consecutive days, you must liquidate your holdings." Just this one rule, 80% of people, due to holding onto fantasies and hesitating, end up turning profits into losses.

Surviving in the crypto world is not difficult with the right strategies; what is difficult is strict execution and maintaining a steady mindset. Keep these 8 points in mind, review them before your next operation, and avoid being the "harvested leeks". #ETH巨鲸增持#